I made an update from my initial projects since we have ‘blown way past’ the original projection. Specifically I updated the March 15, 2020 cases with the number of reported in the US, and changed to doubling of cases from every 7 days to every three days. I also added a column to show the number of open hospital beds in the US, which is estimated at 25% of the total number hospital beds in the USA. At the moment it looks like around April 20, 2020 all available hospital beds will be full.
Here are the results:
| DAY | CASES | HOSPITAL (15%) | PASS AWAY (2%) | USA HOSPITAL Beds |
| 3/15/2020 | 3,244 | 487 | 65 | 924,000 |
| 3/19/2020 | 6,488 | 973 | 130 | 924,000 |
| 3/23/2020 | 12,976 | 1,946 | 260 | 924,000 |
| 3/27/2020 | 25,952 | 3,893 | 519 | 924,000 |
| 3/31/2020 | 51,904 | 7,786 | 1,038 | 924,000 |
| 4/4/2020 | 103,808 | 15,571 | 2,076 | 924,000 |
| 4/8/2020 | 207,616 | 31,142 | 4,152 | 924,000 |
| 4/12/2020 | 415,232 | 62,285 | 8,305 | 924,000 |
| 4/16/2020 | 830,464 | 124,570 | 16,609 | 924,000 |
| 4/20/2020 | 1,660,928 | 249,139 | 33,219 | 924,000 |
| 4/24/2020 | 3,321,856 | 498,278 | 66,437 | 924,000 |
| 4/28/2020 | 6,643,712 | 996,557 | 132,874 | 924,000 |
| 5/2/2020 | 13,287,424 | 1,993,114 | 265,748 | 924,000 |
| 5/6/2020 | 26,574,848 | 3,986,227 | 531,497 | 924,000 |
| 5/10/2020 | 53,149,696 | 7,972,454 | 1,062,994 | 924,000 |
| 5/14/2020 | 106,299,392 | 15,944,909 | 2,125,988 | 924,000 |
Eventually, this virus thing will pass and everyone will be ok.
Good Luck and Take Care,
Louis J. Desy Jr. – Monday, March 16, 2020 07:45am EDT
LouisDesyjr@gmail.com
